I've been looking at a lot of charts of Arctic Sea Ice lately, wondering when it will be gone, and whether the more extreme predictions are credible. When scientists come up with a chart that points to around 2040 for sea ice going, do their models include events like the Siberian heat wave ? Could such a thing render 2040 estimates useless ? Thanks.

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    $\begingroup$ nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0860-7 may be of interest. $\endgroup$ Aug 11, 2020 at 2:10
  • $\begingroup$ thanks but, meh, paywall. $\endgroup$ Aug 11, 2020 at 16:17
  • $\begingroup$ For me it says: "You have full access to this article via FAO Food & Agriculture Organization" Download PDF $\endgroup$ Aug 11, 2020 at 21:22
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    $\begingroup$ @KeithMcClary Looks like it's seeing an institutional login for you - the names are sometimes odd/wrong though. Nature usually has non-paywall readcube links at the bottom of articles for sharing: rdcu.be/b6dFF $\endgroup$
    – Deditos
    Aug 12, 2020 at 9:26
  • $\begingroup$ @Deditos Strange, I don't get access when I use another browser, but I can download it on Researchgate. $\endgroup$ Aug 12, 2020 at 15:16


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