I've noticed that some ‘highest‘ high tides in one month are bigger than the highest high-tide of previous months. Why is this so?
$\begingroup$ An informed guess would be it is heavily based on the lunar distance (timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/distance.html), but I don't know enough about the topic to give any certainty to that. $\endgroup$– JeopardyTempestJan 27, 2017 at 13:50
2$\begingroup$ Not only related to the Earth-Moon distance. In reality it is a combination of lunar and solar effects. The main factor for monthly variability being the solar declination. $\endgroup$– arkaiaJan 27, 2017 at 14:17
The dynamics of the tides are quite complex. The main idea is that gravity from the Moon and the Sun affect water (and everything else) on Earth. The issue is that there are several motions that alter the distance between the 3 systems and those motions cause interactions between the different frequencies involved. The Equilibrium Theory of Tides separates the different effects into a set of constituents by conducting a harmonic analysis. The relevant periods are:
- the lunar day (period of lunar rotation), 24.84 mean solar hours.
- the sidereal month (period of lunar declination), 27.32 mean solar days.
- the tropical year (period of solar declination), 365.24 mean solar days.
- the period of the lunar perigee, 8.85 years (1 year = 365.2421988 days).
- the period of the lunar node, 18.61 years.
- the period of the solar perihelion, 20940 years.
The explanation of each constituent can be rather complex (some examples in this other answer). The different amplitudes in a day and the spring-neap cycle are related to the combination of the main lunar and solar effects.
The differences in high/low tide from month to month are related to the next two main frequencies of oscillation. Mainly, the variations in Earth-Sun distance associated occurring in a period of tropical year. The lunar distance also contributes to these differences, but its cycle is much longer (~9 years). Also, the spring-neap cycle (with a frequency of half a lunar month ~13.5 days) will occur at different times of the month and can lead to differences in tidal amplitude if you compare the tides measured the same day of consecutive months. (Source www.niwa.co.nz)
$\begingroup$ So if I understand you right, you're suggesting the greatest interannual influence is due to sun angle? So it's different times of year in different hemispheres? $\endgroup$ Jan 29, 2017 at 6:12
1$\begingroup$ The interannual variability is more affected by the Moon-Earth distance. The intra-annual variability is affected by the relative positions between the Sun and the Earth that varies with the same period as the solar declination. I have tried to clarified this point. $\endgroup$– arkaiaJan 29, 2017 at 15:37
Arkaia's answer gives good information on the primary cause, which is the multitude of different astronomical changes that operate on various different timescales.
However, there's an additional consideration, which is "storm surge" or, more colloquially, "what the weather is doing".
Differences in atmospheric pressure between different areas can lead to water flowing to those areas with low pressure, and this can make a significant difference (metres) to sea level. The same is true of heavy winds and wave action. Usually this is considered in terms of flooding, and it isn't a tidal process - but it does still affect the elevation of any given high tide.
Storm surge is often discussed with respect to hurricanes, but the more modest pressure differences elsewhere can still have considerable effects.
$\begingroup$ Storm surge is not a tide! This only needs to confusion. Water level variability is affected mainly by tides (astronomical), surge (both caused by wind setup and atmospheric pressure), and other factors like steric anomalies (temperature, salinity effects) and wave setup and runup. Calling surge a tide is a misnomer and leads to all kinds of confusions! $\endgroup$– arkaiaSep 1, 2019 at 0:04
$\begingroup$ @arkaia that's correct, and that's why I wrote "it isn't a tidal process". But, as I said, it does still affect the height of any given tide. $\endgroup$ Sep 1, 2019 at 4:09